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Thread: U.S. report: Iran stopped nuclear weapons work in 2003

  1. #1
    Moderator Roody's Avatar
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    Post U.S. report: Iran stopped nuclear weapons work in 2003

    WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Iran halted work toward a nuclear weapon under international scrutiny in 2003 and is unlikely to be able to produce enough enriched uranium for a bomb until 2010 to 2015, a U.S. intelligence report says.

    A declassified summary of the latest National Intelligence Estimate found with "high confidence" that the Islamic republic stopped an effort to develop nuclear weapons in the fall of 2003.

    The estimate is less severe than a 2005 report that judged the Iranian leadership was "determined to develop nuclear weapons despite its international obligations and international pressure."

    But the latest report says Iran -- which declared its ability to produced enriched uranium for a civilian energy program in 2006 -- could reverse that decision and eventually produce a nuclear weapon if it wanted to do so.

    Enriched uranium at low concentrations can be used to fuel nuclear power plants, but much higher concentrations are needed to yield a nuclear explosion.

    "We judge with moderate confidence that the earliest possible date Iran would be technically capable of producing enough highly enriched uranium for a weapon is late 2009, but that this is very unlikely," the report says. A more likely time frame for that production is between 2010 and 2015, it concludes.

    Iran has insisted its nuclear program is strictly aimed at producing electricity, and the country has refused the U.N. Security Council's demand to halt its enrichment program.

    Monday's report represents the consensus of U.S. intelligence agencies. It suggests that a combination of "threats of intensified international scrutiny and pressures, along with opportunities for Iran to achieve its security, prestige and goals for regional influence in other ways," could persuade the Iranian leadership to continue its suspension of nuclear weapons research.

    Available intelligence suggests the Iranian leadership is guided "by a cost-benefit approach," not a headlong rush to develop a bomb, the report concludes.

    The International Atomic Energy Agency, the U.N. nuclear watchdog, has reported that Iran is cooperating with inspectors by providing access to declared nuclear material, documents and facilities. However, the agency also said Iran is withholding information in other areas, and as a result, the IAEA's knowledge about the status of the program is "diminishing."

    Iran says its uranium enrichment work is allowed under the 1968 Non-Proliferation Treaty. The Security Council has passed two rounds of sanctions against Tehran, but Washington missed its goal of reaching consensus on tighter restrictions by the end of November, the State Department said last week.

    U.S. National Security adviser Stephen Hadley expressed hope after Monday's announcement, but he said Iran remains a serious threat.

    "The estimate offers grounds for hope that the problem can be solved diplomatically -- without the use of force -- as the administration has been trying to do," Hadley said in a statement.

    "But the intelligence also tells us that the risk of Iran acquiring a nuclear weapon remains a very serious problem."

    The report comes amid widespread accusations that the Bush administration is attempting to maneuver the United States into a conflict with Iran, which it accuses of meddling in the war in Iraq. In October, the United States designated elements of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps as supporters of terrorism.

    NIEs examine current capabilities and vulnerabilities and, perhaps more importantly, consider future developments. Policymakers usually request the estimates, but the intelligence community also can initiate them.
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    Doesn't matter.

    They're brown, their leader is a chest-puffing saber-rattler, and it's pretty much already been determined that we're going to "do something" about them because they're supplying the tearrr-ists with IEDs and whatnot.

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    Ohh Hell yeah.. Sava700's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Burke View Post
    Doesn't matter.

    They're brown, their leader is a chest-puffing saber-rattler, and it's pretty much already been determined that we're going to "do something" about them because they're supplying the tearrr-ists with IEDs and whatnot.
    well they are.. blow the hell out of em!!

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    Senior Member Gixxer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Burke View Post
    pretty much already been determined that we're going to "do something" about them .
    who with security access to our war or other plans "to do something about them" told you?
    a.k.a. GSXR 750

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    Quote Originally Posted by Gixxer View Post
    who with security access to our war or other plans "to do something about them" told you?
    Not much of a news reader/viewer, are ya?

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    uhh, hello the administraiton has been open about it. Read the PNAC which drawn up in the late 90s, only about 100 pgs, but goes into great detail on the situations and events that have occured since 9/11 on Iraq, the outing of Saddam, military buildup, more permanent bases, Iran etc. It is just like a playbook.

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    Elite Member Izzo's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Burke View Post
    Not much of a news reader/viewer, are ya?
    just the box scores

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    Senior Member Gixxer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Burke View Post
    Not much of a news reader/viewer, are ya?
    thats funny...nice try though ... you of all people should know that just because they say something does not mean they do it (gov) .. and by your post you seem as if you actually believe what the media says.
    a.k.a. GSXR 750

  9. #9
    Senior Member Gixxer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Izzo View Post
    just the box scores
    jeez, you are like the itchy to his scratchy
    a.k.a. GSXR 750

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    Senior Member Gixxer's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by frostybear View Post
    uhh, hello the administraiton has been open about it. Read the PNAC which drawn up in the late 90s, only about 100 pgs, but goes into great detail on the situations and events that have occured since 9/11 on Iraq, the outing of Saddam, military buildup, more permanent bases, Iran etc. It is just like a playbook.
    i guess it is set in stone then, huh?
    a.k.a. GSXR 750

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    SG Enthusiast Comtrad's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sava700 View Post
    well they are.. blow the hell out of em!!
    prove it

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    Quote Originally Posted by Gixxer View Post
    i guess it is set in stone then, huh?
    Seeing as they have accomplished a majority of what they have wanted thus far and are banging on the war drums against Iran , what else would you call it, petrified wood.

  13. #13
    ♫♪ ♫♪ ♫♪ ♫♪ downhill's Avatar
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    Well let’s see here....

    Wrong on energy policy, wrong on taxes, wrong on not having dialog with North Korea, wrong on world diplomacy, wrong on WOMD in Iraq, wrong on al Qeada having ties with Saddam, wrong on aluminum tubes being used for uranium enrichment in Iraq, wrong on yellow cake being shipped to Iraq from Africa, wrong on Plame......



    Dunno........just dunno....

  14. #14
    Ohh Hell yeah.. Sava700's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Comtrad View Post
    prove it
    I'm sure Meggie can tell ya from being over there and seeing the weapons first hand that came from Iran that they were using to shot at them.

    Otherwise I don't have time to run over to Iraq and ask someone holding a gun if they got it from Iran or not.

  15. #15
    Second Most EVIL YARDofSTUF's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sava700 View Post
    I'm sure Meggie can tell ya from being over there and seeing the weapons first hand that came from Iran that they were using to shot at them.

    Otherwise I don't have time to run over to Iraq and ask someone holding a gun if they got it from Iran or not.
    Ahh, so you dont know if they are or not, cool.

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